What Is Vigorish (Vig) and Why Does It Matter?
This no vig calculator removes the bookmaker margin from any moneyline and reveals the true implied probability and fair odds for each side. Every sportsbook charges a vigorish (vig) or juice hidden inside the odds — when you see -110/-110 on a standard NFL spread, each side implies 52.38% win probability, but the overround of 104.76% includes the sportsbook's built-in profit margin.
Removing the vig — also called the "no-vig price" or "fair odds" — tells you what the book actually thinks the true probability of each side is. It is the baseline every sharp bettor uses to evaluate whether a line offers value.
No-Vig Formula Explained
The no-vig calculation is straightforward once you understand implied probability:
- Convert odds to implied probability:
- Negative odds (favorites): |odds| ÷ (|odds| + 100) — e.g., -110 → 110/210 = 52.38%
- Positive odds (underdogs): 100 ÷ (odds + 100) — e.g., +130 → 100/230 = 43.48%
- Sum both implied probabilities: This is the overround. For -110/-110, it is 104.76%.
- Divide each probability by the overround: 52.38% ÷ 104.76% = 50.00%. Both sides become exactly 50/50 — the fair price for a coin flip.
Our calculator performs these steps automatically. You can also input implied probabilities directly if you already have them.
How Much Does the Book Charge? Vig by Market Type
Not all markets carry the same vig. Here is a rough guide to what you should expect across common bet types:
- Point spreads / Totals: 4%–5% vig (typically -110/-110). Reduced-juice books offer -105/-105 (~2.4%).
- Moneylines: Varies widely. A -120/+100 moneyline carries about 4.8% vig.
- Player props: 6%–12% vig is common; some soft markets exceed 15%.
- Futures (e.g., season wins, championship): Often 15%–25% hold, sometimes higher for long-odds markets.
- Same-game parlays: 20%+ implied vig on average due to correlated outcomes being priced at uncorrelated odds.
Sharp bettors prioritize low-vig markets and use line shopping across books to minimize the toll vig takes on their bankroll over time.
Why the No-Vig Price Is Your Baseline
If you believe a team has a 55% chance of winning and the no-vig price places them at 50%, you have found a positive expected value (+EV) bet. The edge is 5 percentage points. Without first computing the no-vig price, you cannot accurately measure your perceived edge — you would be measuring against a price that includes the book's margin, which overstates implied probability.
For a practical example: a -140 favorite on the moneyline. Raw implied probability is 140/240 = 58.33%. If the opponent is +120 (100/220 = 45.45%), the overround is 103.78% and the no-vig probabilities are 56.22% and 43.78% respectively. If you believe the favorite's true probability is 60%, you have approximately a 3.8% edge — a meaningful positive expectation.
Line Shopping and Vig Reduction Strategies
Reducing the vig you pay is one of the highest-leverage adjustments available to a recreational bettor. A bettor who always takes -110 and one who consistently finds -105 will see the second bettor's break-even win rate drop from 52.38% to 51.22% — a gap that compounds significantly over hundreds of bets.
- Use multiple books: Having accounts at 4–6 sportsbooks allows you to shop for the best number on every bet.
- Seek reduced-juice books: Some books specialize in lower-margin pricing, especially for spreads and totals.
- Avoid same-game parlays and most futures: These carry the highest house edges of any bet type offered by a sportsbook.
Use this no-vig calculator alongside our sports calculators and the CPM calculator to make more data-driven decisions about your time and budget.
Understanding American Odds vs. Implied Probability
American odds are the default format in US sportsbooks. They are expressed as either a negative number (how much you risk to win $100) or a positive number (how much you win for every $100 wagered). Converting between formats is essential for any bettor:
- -110: Risk $110 to win $100 → implied probability 52.38%
- +110: Risk $100 to win $110 → implied probability 47.62%
- -200: Risk $200 to win $100 → implied probability 66.67%
- +200: Risk $100 to win $200 → implied probability 33.33%
- Even (+100 / -100): Risk $100 to win $100 → implied probability 50.00%
Our calculator accepts American odds directly and converts them to implied probability automatically, so you can focus on the analysis rather than the arithmetic.
Sources & References
- American Gaming Association — Sports Betting Standards — American Gaming Association